The Exit Strategy – Exiting From an Investment

May 20, 2013 in Investing by Shivakkumar Vadiveyl

The Exit Strategy – Exiting From an Investment

The Exit Strategy is about planning for an eventual exit from an investment. It deals with realization of profit or loss from an investment. A lot of investors forget to plan the Exit Strategy. Some of them do not even know what is it about. Successful traders and businesses employ the exit strategy to prepare for the worst case scenario in an investment. It makes them plan ahead and work out a strategy to exit the investment, at a minimal loss.

The Exit Strategy should not focus on profit alone. It must also have a plan for what can be done if a loss should arise. Take for example a business which opens a restaurant. An investment of $300,000 has been made into that restaurant. It would be wise for the investor to think and plan ahead how the invested capital can be recouped should the restaurant run into a loss. Maybe the restaurant can be sold or it can be rented. How easy or hard is it to sell a restaurant? How much of that invested capital can be recouped?

Lost in Investment

Lost in Investment

By working out these options right upfront, it will help the investor to plan from the very beginning for such a scenario. This ensures that the investor is never lost and is not left without any options. Always remember that the capital must not be lost and it must be recouped so that it can be reinvested into other investments. If the capital is lost, it would set the investor back by a huge amount as the investor would now need to earn back that lost capital before going into business again. Such an Exit Strategy is one of the factors that makes businesses recover after a lost venture whereas others are never able to recover at all.

The same applies to investing in gold, silver or equity. The protection of capital should be at the forefront of a wise investment strategy. The exit strategy is the component of an investment strategy that ensures protection of capital.

Exit from Investment

Exit from Investment

The Exit Strategy lays out a set of conditions that will trigger an exit out of an investment. In the article on Entry Strategy, we discussed the various types of investment styles such as value investing, technical analyst and income or dividend investing. Each of these investment styles has its own Entry Strategy. Similarly, each of these styles of investing also has a corresponding Exit Strategy.

An example of a simple stock investment strategy is as follows. The part in bold is the exit strategy.

As a means to create passive income, to invest $10,000 in Company ABC when it’s price is below $15 and a new uptrend is established so that the yield will be higher than 5%. An exit out of the investment will take place when the price hits $25, the cut loss will be set at $14.25 (at 5% cut loss).

The idea of this investment strategy is to earn a dividend and to ride the profits but to minimize the loss to 5% should the stock head down. This strategy will ensure the investor gets back 95% of the capital to be reinvested into other better performing stock.

Exit Strategy is an important component of overall trade strategy and it works to help the investor plan ahead for either a profit or loss situation. It will help to protect the capital. It is a must for every investor to have a clearly defined exit strategy in order to succeed in investing.

Credit : Lost in Investment Image

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The Entry Strategy – Entering an Investment

May 18, 2013 in Investing by Shivakkumar Vadiveyl

The Entry Strategy – Entering an Investment

The Entry Strategy is the actual strategy of entering into an Investment. This is the strategy to be employed by making use of funds to buy into an investment vehicle such as equity, business, real estate, precious metals such as gold and silver, unit trusts, insurance, Gold IRA, ROTH IRA and much more. This is the strategy to be used when signing up into an investment scheme or signing up to owning units of investment.

Entry Strategy

Making an Investment

The main part of an Entry Strategy lays out a set of pre-determined conditions that must be met in order to initiate the investment. The conditions of investment really depends on the investor as well as the investment vehicle. The investor might employ Technical Analysis, Fundamental Analysis or both to determine the right price for the investment.

Investors who use Technical Analysis wait for a trend to establish before deciding to ride the trend and make as much as possible from that trend. These investors fall in the category of trend followers.

Liberty Gold Coin

Gold Coin

Investors who employ Fundamental Analysis wait for the price of the investment vehicle to fall to a level where they see value. They may use indicators such as Price-to-Earnings Ratio, Price-to-Book Ratio, Gearing and many more to determine the price to enter an investment. They may also invest when they see a potential value in the investment. The run up of gold price the past decade was driven by the fact that currencies were losing value due to credit expansion. Investors who saw this development picked up gold at a really low price. These investors are value investors.

There are investors who are driven by income and they employ an entry strategy of buying only investments that distribute income of at least a yield of 5% or 10% per year. These investors wait for the investment vehicle to drop to a level where the yield increases to at least 5% and use that condition to enter into an investment. These are dividend or income investors.

Usually, investors use a mix of these conditions as their entry strategy. They may employ value investing with technical analysis. They may also use income investing with technical analysis. Value investing helps to decide which investment vehicle to invest in and technical analysis helps to determine the right time to enter an investment.

An example of a simple Trade Strategy statement could be as follows. (Usually Trade Strategy is much more elaborate than this but we’ll use this for this example.) The part that is in bold is the Entry Strategy.

To invest $10,000 from 401(k) fund into Gold IRA when gold price hits $1200 as a form of financial protection for my family.

Here’s another example of a simple Trade Strategy. Again, the part in bold is the Entry Strategy.

As a means to create passive income, to invest $10,000 in Company ABC when it’s price is below $15 and a new uptrend is established so that the yield will be higher than 5%. An exit out of the investment will take place when the price hits $25 and cut loss will be set at $14.25 (at 5% cut loss).

The Entry Strategy should form part of an overall Trade Strategy or Investment Strategy. In this article on the Entry Strategy, we presented the specifics of an entry strategy and discussed the important points that investors must take note of.

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GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis 15 Feb 2013

February 15, 2013 in GBP/USD by Shivakkumar Vadiveyl

GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis 15 Feb 2013

GBP/USD has been heading down in a nice Elliott Wave structure from a high of 1.62 to the current 1.55 region. In our previous articles on this currency pair, we had been bearish all along with a target of 1.55 to 1.56. Our review started when this pair was trading at 1.605. You may review those articles on GBP/USD Technical Analysis for reference.

Below is the latest GBP/USD 4H chart. In it, you can clearly define the five waves of Elliott Wave structure. This move is within a clear trend channel giving us a good trading guide. As we know, once the five waves are completed, it would be followed by a three wave correction. Furthermore, now that GBP/USD has hit our earlier target range of 1.55 to 1.56, we are of the view that a corrective wave to the upside is very likely. However, there could be one more small leg down to 1.54 as the MACD is not pointing up yet.

GBP USD Chart - 4 Hourly 15 Feb 2013

GBP USD Chart - 4 Hourly 15 Feb 2013

The corrective wave typically retraces between 0.38 and 0.62 of the previous wave and this gives us a target of between 1.580 and 1.600 (highlighted in red box). The 1.589 region is likely to provide a strong resistance as it had recently resisted price surge at this level as highlighted in the GBP/USD chart.

Note that this retracement is expected to be a counter trend move which means that with the completion of the retracement, the GBP/USD is expected to continue heading lower.

This is the weekly GBP/USD chart and it shows the updated view of the contracting triangle which we published in our previous review. Note that the recent move has moved below the triangle trend line. This might pull in speculators to sell this pair only to see it rise to complete the counter trend move. This is an important trend line has it has been in place since Jan 2009.

GBPUSD Weekly Chart - 15 Feb 2013

GBPUSD Weekly Chart - 15 Feb 2013

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