S&P 500 Elliott Wave Analysis – 16 May 2012

May 17, 2012 in S&P 500 by Shivakkumar Vadiveyl

S&P 500 Elliott Wave Analysis – 16 May 2012

The S&P 500 made further move to the downside and closed at 1324. The move is getting choppy indicating that the selling is exhausted. Yesterday I said that a relief rally to 1362 is likely and that is looking more likely now. The divergence on the hourly MACD is still in place. After the rally to 1362, S&P 500 is expected to sell off to 1290 region.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis Chart 16 May 2012
S&P 500 Elliott Wave Analysis Chart 16 May 2012

The alternate view is that the S&P 500 has completed Minute wave [x] and Minute wave [z] is about to start.

The below chart is the daily chart which displays the head and shoulders pattern and the expected target.

S&P 500 Daily Elliott Wave Chart 16 May 2012
S&P 500 Daily Elliott Wave Chart 16 May 2012

S&P 500 Fibonacci Confluence

The S&P 500 is now between two major Fibonacci bands. A correction to 1362 is expected and thereafter, further slide to the next band at 1282 – 1297.

S&P 500 Daily Fibonacci Confluence Chart 16 May 2012
S&P 500 Daily Fibonacci Confluence Chart 16 May 2012

S&P 500 Volume and MACD

The volume is still thin. The daily MACD has now been captured by the bears.

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